Heading into the last few days of 2022…
Nearing The Final Days Of 2022 …
December 27 (King World News) – Michael Oliver at MSA Research: … and lessons that investors in all asset categories should have learned in 2022.
MSA has been major negative (annual momentum trend negative) on the stock asset category since January or February, depending on the major index. We stick with that. Very early this year, and not far off the bull market price highs, the stock market joined with the already negative trends underway in U.S. government bonds, munis, and high-yield corporate bonds. In sum, paper assets that had been “inflated” for a dozen years due to free money policies in the developed economies were busted. Bubbles broken. And in the case of U.S. stocks, it was a massive, historic bubble in percentage terms…
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The 60/40% (stock/bonds) portfolio belief structure clearly failed in 2022. There were no paper assets in which to hide or to “balance” one’s portfolio. Believers were skewered from both sides of that mix.
And the bubble breaker was the Fed. After all, it had created the prior bubble, so it was natural they’d burst it with equal ignorance of free market asset pricing. Nice.……more here
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