JPMorgan is the latest Wall Street bank to slash its forecast for US economic growth because of weakened hopes for near-term stimulus.
The bank on Thursday lowered its fourth-quarter 2020 estimate to 2.5% from 3.5% and cut its first-quarter 2021 growth forecast to 2% from 2.5%.
The lack of fresh fiscal aid has an “immediate impact” on household incomes and will drive a contraction in disposable income into 2021, Michael Feroli, the bank’s chief economist, said in a note.
JPMorgan projected that the absence of a new stimulus measure would also lower the 2021 federal deficit to $2 trillion from $3.5 trillion.
Dwindling odds of a new stimulus deal are driving economists to tamper expectations for US economic growth. JPMorgan on Thursday became the latest Wall Street giant to follow suit…….more here