New analysis of the November 5 pictures, obtained by Washington-based monitoring group 38 North, show a tight operation at the Sinpo South Shipyard on the country’s east coast.
According to military experts, the continued movement of parts and components into and out of the port show an ongoing shipbuilding program and the construction of a new submarine.
North Korean defence and intelligence affairs expert, Joseph S. Bermudez Jr, told 38 North the pictures show an “aggressive schedule” to create the new weapon.
“A probable launch canister support, or launch canister, appears to be present within the service tower at the missile test stand suggesting the ongoing ejection testing of submarine launch ballistic missiles (SLBM),” the outlet wrote.
Close-up of the missile test stand indicates launch canister support or launch canister present at service tower. Picture: DigitalGlobe/38 North via Getty ImagesSource:Getty Images
“Such testing could support the continued development of SLBMs, a new ballistic missile submarine or a combination of both.
“The presence of what appears to be sections of a submarine’s pressure hull in the yards suggests construction of a new submarine, possibly the SINPO-C ballistic missile submarine — the follow-on to the current SINPO-class experimental ballistic missile submarine.”
MISSILE EJECTION TESTING
A new object has appeared in the images, which Mr Bermudez said showed it was likely the regime had tested missile ejection from the site.
“At the test stand, imagery from November 5 shows an object visible at the top of the service tower that appears to be either a launch canister support or launch canister,” 38 North wrote.
“This object does not appear in previous satellite or ground images of the test stand.”
He added the continued presence of the service tower in the pictures suggested ongoing SLBM ejection tests.
The regime had also been trying to conceal activity from both ground and overhead using netting, according to the analysis.
SINPO-class submarine and submersible test stand barge berthed in the secure boat basin. Picture: DigitalGlobe/38 North via Getty Images.Source:Getty Images
However, 38 North, which is part of the US-Korea Institute at Johns Hopkins University’s Advanced International Studies, stressed this didn’t mean any sort of test was imminent.
“While both the submarine and test stand barge appear able to put to sea at relatively short notice, no activities are observed suggesting a forthcoming at-sea or submerged SLBM test,” 38 North wrote.
SURPRISINGLY SLOW
Analysis of the site over the past months had shown progress, but Dr Peter Layton, a visiting fellow at the Griffith Asia Institute at Griffith University, said he was surprised at how little was going on at the site.
Dr Layton believes the submarine weapon could be a back-up if the country’s road mobile, nuclear-armed intercontinental ballistic missile plan fails.
However, he said the rate of building new facilities was actually quite slow.
“Given the astonishing speed of the DPRK (Democratic Republic of Korea) in building and testing new rockets the rather placid scene here is interesting,” he said.
“The focus to me then seems very much on building a submarine launched ballistic missile not the submarine which will carry it.
“The DPRK might be happy with the design of the first Sinpo class and happy to build the remaining five of the class later after the missile is proven.”….More Here